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Lancaster Predictions 2004 - The Lull Before the StormJanuary 22, 2004Relative stability reigns throughout the year. Hold on for the ride, it isn't going to be pretty, but it is necessary. Vaya con Dios! Comments
Dear Rich , thankyou for your balanced and believable prediction i often contemplate such matters. To cut to the chase last year she publically announced that 2005 could be a difficult year and that it could be a natural or manmade disaster. she said she was very concerned and warned her students to be cautious etc. She knows if she got too specific folks would literally make this there focus so i believe she has held back for the sake of balance. Her name is ammachi and i see her about twice a year . She is not my teacher but i feel her presence an enormous gift and feel high for days or weeks after . I know this is a strange missive i laugh at the so called psychics or rather sidekicks as i like to call them but this lady is the real deal. And well beyond my comprehension. I can not see gold going down as you mention if it continues to take on more of a monetary concept but i personally am heavily into silver on account of its monetarily related supply demand potential. Nick Hodgson. Posted by: NIck at January 25, 2004 03:24 AMLong Term Capital Management was a hedge fund run by geniuses on Wall Street, using Black Box models which could perfectly predict intermarket relationships. The Global Economy is currently being gamed by Alan Greenspan in a similar fashion, using the Keynesian model to "manage" recessions, business cycles, the stock market, currencies, and assorted financial wipeouts. The Derivatives Cyclone and Liquidity Bubble created by Greenspan's hedge fund encompasses the entire globe. The Bank of Japan was recently recruited into the fund. The ECB and Bank of England will be next. The size and scope of the leveraged trades put on by Mr. Greenspan far exceed anything else found in financial history. And the leverage is about to become even greater. I am predicting a most spectacular equity and real estate blowoff into the June - July timeframe, which will put Mr. Greenspan on the pedestal as the most successful hedge fund manager which ever lived. Then something will go wrong. The markets will no longer start "acting properly", so Mr. Greenspan will start doubling down on his bets, LTCM-style. The more he doubles down, the worse the result. Eventually, things will get out of hand, and there will be a Chernobyl - grade meltdown in the Global Derivatives Colossus, also known as the Alan Greenspan Hedge Fund. Under this scenario, gold and silver prices will trade up to unimaginable levels, as mountains of paper holders rush to safety. Posted by: Mark at January 25, 2004 10:24 AMJapan has agreed to spend up to $1.3 trillion US to support the dollar according to an article by Harry Chernoff on prudentbear.com. That's enough to keep things going at least through the election and probably longer. Maybe they've agreed to do this to try to help secure oil supplies in the Mideast and Caspian Sea areas. Regardless of their motivation, the US strategy should be to keep running huge trade and fiscal deficits to debase the value of the foreigners' US dollar holdings. Foreigners don't vote in US elections and Bush wants to get reelected, so he doesn't care if they end up holding the bag. Maybe China will get smart and debase their currency by printing yen and stockpiling raw materials instead of dollars. Under this scenario I don't see how hard assets as measured in dollars are going to go down in price. But maybe as measured in gold (the 5th currency (in addition to dollar, yen, renminbi, euro) according to Marc Faber), prices will go down. Posted by: AG at January 25, 2004 11:18 AMLast part of last post should read --
Under this scenario I don't see how hard assets as measured in dollars are going to go down in price. But maybe as measured in gold (the 5th major currency (in addition to dollar, yen, renminbi, euro) according to Marc Faber), prices will go down. Yeeeeehhhhaaaawwww!!!! Gold won't "go down" it's a super cycle up...with BURSTS lower to shake out small-timers. death & destruction will take longer (years into the future)...but, keep yer eyes peeled! A slow desinigration with NFL football games to cover Joe SixPax Wallmart job & declining lifestyle will be fun to watch as outsiders lookin in! Ring the bell & take the money! Posted by: LEXLUTHUR at January 25, 2004 05:14 PMAll I can say is... is this really going to happen in America? What a long strange trip it's been... Vaya con Dios. Posted by: Amman Mohammed at March 3, 2004 08:43 PM Just like the last depression of '29, people will " Have Mr. Trump come to my office." Mr. Trump, And with the realization that the American public has been had, maybe we will see some positive change in leadership, come from this financial collapse. It disgusts me, that all this debt based prsopertity, has not been questioned by the lemmings. It doesn't take a PhD in Economics to see the equation doesn't work. Posted by: Laura at April 17, 2004 12:16 AMOnly when we have nothing to say do we say anything at all. Posted by: Miller Steve at May 3, 2004 10:06 PMThe unseen trigger for a market crash might be the unravelling of the HIV theory. Science is catching up with Robert Gallo and it is only a matter of time before reputable scientists will find everyone carries HIV particles. This will immediately crash drug stocks which are propping Very interesting things in you site What else can i say after all this ?! I see ... stocks and housing bubble starting to fall in the summer, quite fast. Consumer confidence will fall with "no real reason". And borrowing. And spending. And Until july ... Yo yo movement of stocks. |
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